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Property Tax Protest Report
Fort Bend Central Appraisal District · 2026 Tax Year
2807 Willowbrook Court · Spring, TX 77386
Property ID: 4291-08-12300  ·  Canyon Vista Estates, Block 4 Lot 23
Class 6 · 2,924 sq ft · Built 2017 · No pool
Prepared for: J. & M. Homeowner
April 2026
HIGH SEVERITY
97th percentile increase
in neighborhood
⚠️
Your property was assessed 18.2% higher — more than double the neighborhood average of 7.8%. Three 2025 arm's-length sales of comparable homes support a significantly lower value. The analysis below estimates a protest reduction of $35,000–$44,000.
$35K–$44K
Estimated reduction
01 · Assessment Overview
2026 Appraised
$447,280
Current notice value
2025 Appraised
$378,450
Prior year
Year-Over-Year
+18.2%
vs. pool median +7.8%
Dollar Increase
+$68,830
2025 → 2026
02 · Neighborhood Context — Canyon Vista Estates (Class 6, 312 properties)
Pool Median YoY
+7.8%
Class 6 comps
Your YoY
+18.2%
2.3× the median
Percentile Rank
97th
Top 3% of increases
Median Appraisal
$398,600
Class 6 neighbors
Distribution of 2026 YoY Increases — Canyon Vista Estates
YOU
0–3%3–6%6–9%9–12%12–15%15–18%18%+
03 · Comparable 2025 Sales — Below Subject's Appraised Rate

Three arm's-length sales of Class 6 homes in Canyon Vista Estates during 2025 sold at a lower price-per-square-foot than your current assessment implies. Under Texas Tax Code §41.43, these sales constitute direct evidence of overvaluation.

Address Sale Date Sale Price Sq Ft Sale $/sqft Your $/sqft Difference
3104 Willowbrook Ct Mar 2025 $388,000 2,841 $136.57 $152.97 −$16.40/sqft
2918 Canyon Vista Dr May 2025 $402,500 3,012 $133.64 $152.97 −$19.33/sqft
3011 Creekside Bluff Ln Aug 2025 $419,000 3,187 $131.48 $152.97 −$21.49/sqft
2807 Willowbrook Ct (subject) 2,924 $152.97 assessed
Median comparable sale price: $131–$137/sqft · Implied fair value: $384,000–$400,500 · Overassessment: $46,780–$63,280
04 · Inflation-Stripped Value Analysis

The neighborhood's own prior-year rates were +6.1% (2024) and +9.5% (2025), averaging 7.8%/yr. Applying that natural rate to your 2025 value — rather than the 18.2% spike FBCAD applied — yields three independent estimates of fair 2026 value.

Scenario A — Natural Rate
$408,090
−$39,190 below current
$378,450 × 7.8% = $408,090
Scenario B — CAGR Trend
$403,260
−$44,020 below current
2023–2025 compound rate extended
Scenario C — Flat Hold
$378,450
−$68,830 below current
No change from 2025 value
Recommended Protest Zone
$403,260 — $408,090
Midpoint: $408,090 · Current assessment of $447,280 exceeds this by $39,190 (8.8%)
05 · Historical Appraisal Trend
YearAppraised ValueYoY ChangeImprovementLand
2019$285,000$243,000$42,000
2020$291,400+2.2%$249,400$42,000
2021$304,800+4.6%$262,800$42,000
2022$341,200+11.9%$297,200$44,000
2023$358,600+5.1%$314,600$44,000
2024$345,200−3.7%$301,200$44,000
2025$378,450+9.6%$334,450$44,000
2026 (Notice)$447,280+18.2% ↑$403,280$44,000
06 · ARB Talking Points — Use These at Your Hearing
Evidence Type: Comparable Sales (Primary Argument)

"In 2025, three Class 6 homes comparable to mine sold in Canyon Vista Estates at prices ranging from $131 to $137 per square foot. At my current assessed value of $447,280, FBCAD is valuing my home at $153 per square foot — 12–17% above what the market actually supported. I'm requesting a reduction to $400,000, which aligns with the median comparable sale rate of $136.84 per square foot applied to my 2,924 square feet."

Evidence Type: Inequitable Rate of Increase

"My property was assessed 18.2% higher this year. The median increase for my class in this neighborhood was 7.8%. My increase is 2.3 times the neighborhood median and places me in the 97th percentile — meaning 96% of my neighbors received a lower increase. Under Texas Tax Code §41.43, equal and uniform appraisal requires that my property not be assessed at a disproportionately higher rate than comparable properties."

Evidence Type: Inflation-Adjusted Value

"Applying the neighborhood's own prior-year natural rate of 7.8% to my 2025 assessed value of $378,450 yields a fair 2026 value of $408,090. The current assessment of $447,280 exceeds this inflation-adjusted benchmark by $39,190 — representing inflation above and beyond the established trend without documented market basis."

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